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U.S. Payrolls Unexpectedly Shrink by 23,000; Unemployment Slips to 4.1%

U.S. employers unexpectedly shed 23,000 jobs in July, falling far short of the 88,000 gain projected by economic consensus, according to data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The drop was compounded by sharp downward revisions to prior months. May payroll additions were revised down by 66,000 to 63,000, while June figures were trimmed by 37,000 to 20,000. Combined, employment across May and June was 103,000 lower than previously reported.

Despite payroll contractions, the unemployment rate edged down to 4.1% from 4.2% in June, beating the 4.2% consensus estimate. The decline was largely driven by a shrinking labor force, as the participation rate ticked down to 61.4% from 61.5%.

The softening labor data could remove some urgency for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. The figures bolster arguments among policymakers who expect inflation to cool in the second half of the year as housing costs ease and the economic impact of President Trump’s tariffs begins to fade.

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About Joe Palmisano

Joe Palmisano is editorial director of Connect Money, where he oversees daily coverage of alternative assets, direct investments, financial advisory and the economy. He brings three decades of experience as a financial journalist, analyst and portfolio manager. Before joining Connect Money, Palmisano wrote for The Wall Street Journal, covering foreign exchange, global fixed-income and equity markets. He later served as a senior research analyst and portfolio manager, producing market analysis and managing foreign exchange and U.S. equity portfolios for FX Concepts. His work has also appeared in SFO Magazine and CMT Association publications. Palmisano earned a bachelor’s degree in finance from The American University and holds the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation and is a member of the CFA Institute.