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March Jobs Rebound Eases Labor Jitters

U.S. nonfarm payrolls rebounded in March, rising by 178,000 versus expectations for a 51,000 gain. The unemployment rate edged down to 4.3% from 4.4%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. 

Revisions painted a more nuanced picture. January’s increase was revised up by 34,000 jobs to 160,000, while February’s decline was revised deeper, to a loss of 133,000 positions. On net, employers added 7,000 fewer jobs than initially reported, underscoring that momentum has cooled even with the March beat. 

Hiring remained concentrated in a handful of sectors. Health care added 76,000 jobs, while construction and transportation and warehousing contributed 26,000 and 21,000 positions, respectively. Federal government employment continued to shrink, falling by 18,000. 

Wage growth moderated slightly. Average hourly earnings rose 0.2% on the month to $37.38, leaving year-over-year gains at 3.5%. 

For policymakers, the report arrives against a complex backdrop of elevated energy prices and geopolitical risk from the Iranian war, which officials have flagged as a potential headwind to both inflation and employment. The Fed has signaled it is in “wait and see” mode, and this mixed but firmer jobs print will be parsed for signs of whether February was an anomaly or an early warning on labor demand. 

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About Joe Palmisano

Joe Palmisano is Editorial Director for Connect Money, where he brings nearly three decades experience of market insights as a financial journalist, analyst and senior portfolio manager for leading financial publications, advisory firms, and hedge funds. In his role as Editorial Director, Joe is responsible for the selection of content and creation of daily business news covering the financial markets, including Alternative Assets, Direct Investment and Financial Advisory services. Before joining Connect Money, Joe was a financial journalist for the Wall Street Journal, regularly publishing feature stories and trend pieces on the foreign exchange, global fixed income and equity markets. Joe parlayed his experience as a financial journalist into roles as a Senior Research Analyst and Portfolio Manager, writing daily and weekly market analysis and managing a FX and US equity portfolio. Joe was also a contributing writer for industry magazines and publications, including SFO Magazine and the CMT Association. Joe earned a B.S.B.A. in Finance from The American University. He holds the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation and is a member of the CFA Institute.