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Investor Optimism Still Bearish, but Improving: Morgan Stanley Survey

Investor Optimism Still Bearish, but Improving: Morgan Stanley Survey

Investors are slightly more optimistic about the financial markets than they were last quarter, still see opportunity for a soft landing and expect the economy to be in better shape by the end of the year, according to the Morgan Stanley Wealth Management quarterly investor pulse survey.

A survey of 906 self-directed investors, investors who have financial professionals handle their investment account management, and those who rely on both types of account management found that 89% of investors believe market volatility will remain the same or increase this quarter, and 52% are still bearish this quarter — but that’s down 3% from the last quarter.

Meanwhile, 40% of investors believe the economy has entered a recession, but that percentage is also lower than it was last quarter by 5%.

Although 55% of participants think inflation has peaked, 64% still consider it the main risk to their portfolio, and 49% said a possible recession is the top risk.

Despite continued worries about inflation and a recession, 51% of investors believe the Federal Reserve will be able to ensure a soft landing, while 64% believe the US economy will come out stronger by the end of the year.

Morgan Stanely thinks investors need to overcome their worries to ensure they can reap the benefits of staying invested in the market.

“Moving money to the sidelines may sound tempting, but for investors with a lengthier time horizon, staying the course may be beneficial in the long run,” said Mike Loewengart, head of model portfolio construction for Morgan Stanley Portfolio Solutions.

Michael Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s chief U.S. equities strategies and chief investment officer strategist, said last month that the recent rally isn’t likely to continue, as an earnings recession was “imminent,” but he also suggested that the bear market could end as soon as later this quarter or early in the next.

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Inside The Story

Morgan Stanley

About Joe Palmisano

Joe Palmisano is Editorial Director for Connect Money, where he brings nearly three decades experience of market insights as a financial journalist, analyst and senior portfolio manager for leading financial publications, advisory firms, and hedge funds. In his role as Editorial Director, Joe is responsible for the selection of content and creation of daily business news covering the financial markets, including Alternative Assets, Direct Investment and Financial Advisory services. Before joining Connect Money, Joe was a financial journalist for the Wall Street Journal, regularly publishing feature stories and trend pieces on the foreign exchange, global fixed income and equity markets. Joe parlayed his experience as a financial journalist into roles as a Senior Research Analyst and Portfolio Manager, writing daily and weekly market analysis and managing a FX and US equity portfolio. Joe was also a contributing writer for industry magazines and publications, including SFO Magazine and the CMT Association. Joe earned a B.S.B.A. in Finance from The American University. He holds the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation and is a member of the CFA Institute.

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